BACKGROUND: Remifentanil may be used by laboring women for analgesia, despite controversy because of potential apneas. We evaluated candidate variables as early warning alerts for apnea, based on prevalence, positive predictive rate, sensitivity for apnea event detection, and early warning alert time intervals (lead time) for apnea. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of respiratory physiological data that had been collected during a prospective IRB-approved study of laboring women receiving IV patient-controlled boluses of remifentanil 20 to 60 [mu]g every 1 to 2 minutes. Analyzed data included the respiratory rate (RR), end-tidal CO2 (EtCO2), pulse oximetry (SpO2), heart rate (HR), and the Integrated Pulmonary Index (IPI; Capnostream 20; Medtronic, Boulder, CO) that had been recorded continuously throughout labor. We defined immediate early warning alerts as any drop in a variable value below a prespecified threshold for 15 seconds: RR = 10 further seconds. The IPI value (1 to 10; 10 = healthy patient, =10 seconds. The positive predictive value of alerts for apnea was 35.8% (99% confidence interval [CI]: 27.1-45.6), 28.9% (99% CI: 20.8-38.7), 4.3% (99% CI: 1.9-9.6), and 24.6% (99% CI: 18.3-32.2) for RR, EtCO2, SpO2, and IPI, respectively. The sensitivity for apnea event detection was 100% (99% CI: 90.3-100) for RR (
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